Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 1251.498018 1418.463881 1602.830103 1822.088950 2076.481055 2363.218678 2712.117254
2025-10-26 991.693845 1213.235096 1480.342613 1828.572053 2274.161963 2830.034389 3583.512870
2025-11-02 864.973060 1114.754420 1434.694757 1879.621904 2490.369613 3311.100154 4517.606826
2025-11-09 773.341049 1038.629553 1395.248878 1917.833401 2677.890427 3764.892059 5477.454235
2025-11-16 700.502251 974.047110 1357.126009 1944.272017 2842.265091 4199.046839 6473.715301
2025-11-23 641.348890 919.273149 1322.737990 1966.309316 2996.110540 4631.825890 7536.340635
2025-11-30 596.515809 878.924050 1302.591711 2003.738532 3173.963583 5122.524485 8778.224538
2025-12-07 537.468961 810.152417 1230.523293 1947.966555 3188.748482 5339.631427 9571.382224
2025-12-14 486.876548 749.126432 1163.514281 1890.913861 3190.797538 5530.008464 10342.724685
2025-12-21 441.178297 691.446772 1095.791314 1823.893980 3164.563714 5661.799461 11018.251310
2025-12-28 425.447461 680.989888 1104.514871 1889.950634 3387.455189 6292.086154 12838.608107
2026-01-04 404.743640 660.135834 1093.179377 1917.874046 3540.793980 6807.789009 14517.351489
2026-01-11 382.292208 634.868049 1072.656039 1928.139257 3664.548656 7290.390814 16248.283710
2026-01-18 361.343725 610.499003 1051.545602 1935.057560 3783.037646 7782.757666 18123.594558
2026-01-25 348.930249 600.173348 1054.791608 1989.541681 4007.815491 8546.573189 20871.197441
2026-02-01 335.717648 587.171143 1051.621803 2030.333178 4208.233620 9288.860406 23757.057350
2026-02-08 322.044859 572.118400 1043.011998 2058.561534 4384.133411 10003.241489 26760.309734
2026-02-15 308.927523 557.018620 1032.845961 2082.093488 4552.233685 10728.308678 30002.247133
2026-02-22 298.551133 546.345162 1030.434974 2122.067180 4765.114247 11608.707008 33993.302244
2026-03-01 278.930434 516.061605 985.686429 2062.506469 4725.078698 11803.629549 35801.503676
2026-03-08 260.795157 487.496935 942.270063 2001.595229 4673.716517 11959.077078 37526.055419
2026-03-15 243.095164 458.666785 896.185983 1930.065508 4586.115393 11997.850376 38856.330549
2026-03-22 239.278213 457.901518 909.563197 2000.567009 4883.280957 13222.189858 44996.124812